2013년 11월 25일 월요일

About 'disadvantages of historical cost accounting'|... the dog's disadvantages: too much to defend, too small...] to a veritable plague of fleas through a long...both in the field—where it costs the enemy a daily fortune...







About 'disadvantages of historical cost accounting'|... the dog's disadvantages: too much to defend, too small...] to a veritable plague of fleas through a long...both in the field—where it costs the enemy a daily fortune...








Note:               Read               the               prior               installments               of               this               essay               series               here:               Part               I;               Part               II;               Part               III;               Part               IV.

In               Chapters               3               and               4               of               Antitrust:               The               Case               for               Repeal,               Dominick               T.

Armentano               argues               against               the               primary               reasons               frequently               given               for               the               existence               of               antitrust               laws.

He               criticizes               the               perfect               competition               model,               the               Neoclassical               free-market               monopoly               model,               and               the               idea               that               free-market               barriers               to               entry               pose               problems               for               consumers.
               Problems               with               Perfect               Competition
               According               to               Armentano,               "it               is               difficult               to               understand               the               relevance               [of               perfect               competition               theory]               in               a               real               world               of               differentiated               preferences,               economic               uncertainty,               and               dynamic               change"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

33).

The               real               economic               problem               -               the               problem               competition               must               solve               -               is               not               how               to               allocate               resources               given               perfect               information,               but               rather               one               of               "understanding               how               the               competitive               market               process               of               discovery               and               adjustment               works               to               coordinate               anticipated               demand               with               supply               in               a               world               of               imperfect               information"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

33).

The               perfect               competition               model               assumes               away               this               basic               problem               and               is               thus               irrelevant               to               the               real               world.
               Armentano               continues               by               noting               that               the               uncertainty               of               real               markets               often               necessitates               product               differentiation,               advertising,               and               interfirm               coordination               --               none               of               which               are               indicators               that               competition               is               being               stifled;               they               simply               indicate               disequilibrium.
               Unfortunately,               most               of               antitrust               enforcement               has               been               grounded               in               the               perfect               competition               model               -               thereby               presuming               that               outputs               less               than               the               theoretical               "perfectly               competitive               output"               are               somehow               "restricted."               Neither               this               nor               antitrust               authorities'               suspicion               of               advertising               and               interfirm               coordination               are               warranted               if               the               perfect               competition               model               itself               is               flawed.
               As               an               alternative               to               the               perfect               competition               model,               Armentano               proposes               the               Hayekian               view               of               competition               "as               an               entrepreneurial               process               of               discovery               and               adjustment               under               conditions               of               uncertainty"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

34).

This               implies               that               no               a               priori               way               exists               to               determine               whether               or               to               what               extent               rivalry               or               cooperation               are               appropriate               in               any               particular               market.

Furthermore,               in               the               course               of               the               market               purpose,               some               firms               may               gain               tremendously               in               market               share,               whereas               others               may               fail               and               suffer               large               losses.

Both               phenomena               are               necessary               for               the               discovery               process               of               the               market               to               take               place.
               Problems               with               Free-Market               Monopoly               Theory
               Armentano               is               furthermore               skeptical               of               the               "actual               ability               of               a               monopoly               firm,               or               a               group               of               colluding               firms,               to               restrict               the               market               supply               and               realize               monopoly               prices               and               profits"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

35).

The               Neoclassical               free-market               monopoly               model               starts               by               assuming               that               a               free-market               sole               producer               restricts               output               and               then               compares               such               a               restricted               output               with               output               under               ideal               perfect               competition               conditions.

However,               Armentano               recognizes               that               "the               atomistic               equilibrium               output               level               [under               perfect               competition]               is               neither               possible               nor               relevant               and               cannot               serve               as               the               welfare               benchmark               for               any               comparison"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

36).
               Furthermore,               the               free               market               will               render               any               monopolist's               or               cartel's               attempts               to               restrict               market               output               and               artificially               raise               prices               extremely               short-lived,               as               when               the               monopolist               raises               prices               above               marginal               and               average               costs,               "strong               economic               incentives               then               exist               to               expand               current               production               and               to               encourage               output               by               new               firms,"               leading               prices               to               fall               and               more               closely               approximate               costs               (Armentano               1999,               p.

36).
               If               a               monopolist               tries               to               dramatically               lower               its               prices               in               order               to               deter               entry               by               rivals,               this               will               increase               sales               and               thus               lead               the               market               toward               a               competitive               level               of               output.

If               the               free-market               monopolist               engages               in               price               discrimination,               the               output               will               likewise               increase,               and               the               additional               units               of               output               will               be               sold               at               lower               prices.

Moreover,               an               inefficient               monopolist               by               his               very               inefficiency               invites               new               entry               and               cannot               deter               it               -               while               a               more               efficient               monopolist               can               only               deter               rivals               as               a               result               of               his               efficiency,               in               which               case               there               exists               no               diminution               of               consumer               well-being.
               A               cartel               encounters               additional               difficulties               -               as               well               as               all               the               ones               mentioned               above.

It               must               also               effectively               police               and               coordinate               its               attempts               to               restrict               output               and               raise               price.

In               short,               "there               is               little               reliable               evidence               that               free-market               collusion               can               allow               conspiring               firms               to               capture               monopoly               profits"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

37).
               Armentano               considers               the               Neoclassical               standard               of               "allocative               efficiency"               to               be               "contrived               and               misleading"               -               as               it               neglects               the               possibility               that               "a               competitive               process               always               operates               under               free-market               monopoly"               and               "no               final               atomistic               equilibrium               condition               can               ever               exist"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

38).

If               these               are               taken               into               account,               free-market               monopolies               cease               to               be               a               problem.
               The               Neoclassical               assumption               regarding               "technical               inefficiency"               in               a               free-market               monopoly               situation               is               similarly               flawed               -               as               in               "any               serious               attempt               to               monopolize               some               free               market,               business               are               far               more               likely               to               lower               costs               than               they               are               to               raise               them,               and               to               expand               rather               than               decrease               production.

The               most               effective               way               to               gain               and               hold               a               free-market               monopoly               position               is               to               be               more               efficient               than               rivals               or               potential               rivals"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

38).

Furthermore,               Armentano               believes               it               is               illegitimate               to               consider               the               costs               of               product               differentiation               as               increased               costs               under               free-market               monopoly,               since               differentiated               products               are               fundamentally               different               from               homogeneous               products               and               thus               cannot               be               compared               to               them.
               The               Standard               Oil               Case
               The               facts               surrounding               the               1911               Standard               Oil               Case               are               frequently               misunderstood.

Standard               Oil               never               acted               to               the               detriment               of               consumers;               quite               the               contrary,               its               tremendous               efficiency               brought               about               its               fast               growth               and               ability               to               gain               a               large               market               share               in               oil.

Standard               Oil's               activities               led               to               tremendous               drops               in               consumer               prices;               Armentano               notes               that               "prices               for               kerosene               fell               from               30               cents               a               gallon               in               1869               to               9               cents               in               1880,               7.4               cents               in               1890,               and               5.9               cents               in               1897"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

41).

The               market               continually               remained               open               to               competitors,               and               Standard               Oil's               market               share               actually               fell               from               85%               in               1890               to               64%               in               1911               -               by               which               time               Standard               Oil               had               over               147               competitors.
               Furthermore,               the               courts               never               found               Standard               Oil               guilty               of               either               restricting               output               or               raising               prices.

Rather,               they               simply               ruled               that               Standard               Oil's               holding               company,               Standard               Oil               of               New               Jersey               was               "a               contract               or               combination               in               restraint               of               trade"               and               thus               outlawed               by               the               Sherman               Act;               therefore,               the               courts               ruled               to               dissolve               the               company.

Although               the               court               ostensibly               applied               the               rule               of               reason               to               this               case,               "it               is               emphatically               not               true               that               the               High               Court               presented               any               specific               finding               of               guilt               with               respect               to               the               charges               of               misconduct               and               monopolistic               performance               brought               against               [Standard               Oil]               by               the               government...

All               that               the               Supreme               Court               did               -               contrary               to               overwhelming               conventional               wisdom               -               was               conclude               that               some               of               Standard's               practices,               such               as               merger,               evidenced               an               unmistakable               intent               to               monopolize               and               that               these               practices               were               unreasonable.

Why               were               they               unreasonable?

Because               the               court               said               that               it               was               obvious               that               they               were"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

42-43).

Clearly,               this               defining               case               in               the               history               of               antitrust               law               was               based               on               dubious               reasoning               at               best.
               Critique               of               Empirical               Studies
               Armentano               goes               on               to               criticize               empirical               studies               that               assume               that               market               concentration,               profitability,               and               even               advertising               and               product               differentiation               are               measures               of               monopoly               power               and               thus               restrictions               of               competition.

There               are               severe               methodological               problems               with               such               studies.
               First,               these               studies               measure               accounting               profit,               not               economic               profit,               which               may               lead               to               flawed               conclusions.

"Second,               legal               monopoly               and               free-market               monopoly               might               well               be               inexorably               intertwined               in               the               actual               business               world;               tariffs,               quotas,               licensing,               and               other               legal               restrictions               always               tend               to               generate               economic               rents               in               markets               that               are               otherwise               openly               competitive"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

44).

Finally,               these               studies               are               flawed               in               using               the               hypothetical               "perfectly               competitive"               output               as               a               benchmark               to               which               to               compare               real-world               situations.
               Legal               Monopoly
               Armentano               acknowledges               that               legal               monopolies,               established               via               government               aid,               can               and               do               harm               consumers.

Legal               monopolies               can               be               brought               about               by               licensing,               quotas,               legal               franchises,               certificates               of               public               convenience,               and               other               means.

Voluntary               exchanges               are               thereby               prevented               and               "the               competitive               market               process               has               been               undercut               and               artificially               shortcircuited               -               by               law"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

45).

This               will               often               reduce               output               and               raise               prices;               efficient               producers               will               often               be               excluded               to               the               benefit               of               those               who               are               best               at               seeking               government               favors.

To               add               to               the               problem,               no               economic               incentives               exist               to               remedy               the               legally-induced               reduction               of               output.

In               the               meantime,               firms               will               continually               waste               resources               lobbying               for               government               favors.
               The               only               legitimate               use               of               antitrust               laws,               according               to               Armentano,               is               "to               remove               legal               restrictions               on               competition               and               cooperation"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

46).

But               even               here               it               is               necessary               to               proceed               with               caution               so               as               to               avoid               prosecuting               free-market               cooperative               agreements               among               suppliers               and               to               prevent               the               horrendous               damage               brought               about               by               private               antitrust               lawsuits.
               Free-Market               Barriers               to               Entry?
               Armentano               devotes               Chapter               4               of               Antitrust               to               addressing               alleged               free-market               barriers               to               entry               such               as               advertising               and               product               differentiation.
               Product               differentiation               can               only               occur               in               a               market               if               consumers               have               expressed               a               preference               for               it               and               a               willingness               to               bear               its               costs.

If               new               producers               find               it               difficult               to               enter               a               market               full               of               differentiated               products,               then               this               is               due               to               the               nature               of               consumer               preferences,               not               to               any               "unfair               advantages"               possessed               by               incumbent               firms.

As               efficient               resource               allocation               requires               that               resources               be               put               to               the               uses               most               valued               by               consumers,               product               differentiation               is               no               grounds               for               antitrust               prosecution.

Furthermore,               anyone               is               still               free               to               enter               a               differentiated               market               and               to               attempt               to               convince               consumers               to               support               less               product               differentiation               or               to               find               cheaper               methods               of               production.
               Furthermore,               Armentano               rejects               the               critique               of               some               product               differentiation               as               frivolous               and               unnecessary               by               noting               that               the               revealed               preferences               of               consumers               are               what               must               ultimately               decide               between               necessary               and               superfluous               product               differentiation.

If               consumers               "are               willing               to               pay               substantially               more               for               some               differentiation,               then               it               is               demonstrably               not               frivolous               and               the               resources               it               uses               are               not               misallocated"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

54).

It               is               possible               for               firms               to               waste               resources               in               trying               to               figure               out               exactly               what               consumers               prefer               -               but               this               is               because               firms               must               anticipate               consumers'               preferences               before               those               preferences               are               explicitly               revealed,               thus               leading               to               a               potential               for               error               and               miscalculation.

Such               mistakes               are               inevitable,               even               given               strong               free-market               incentives               not               to               make               them.

Nothing               in               antitrust               law               can               make               these               mistakes               any               less               frequent.
               Advertising               in               a               free               market               is,               likewise,               not               a               problem.

Armentano               notes               that               treating               advertising               as               a               superfluous               "selling               expense"               apart               from               production               expenses               "is               totally               arbitrary.

All               business               costs               are               selling               costs               in               the               sense               that               all               resources               are               expended               with               the               purpose               of               selling               products               to               consumers               at               a               profit"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

58).

Advertising               would               indeed               be               unnecessary               in               a               "perfectly               competitive"               market               with               perfect               information,               but               this               is               not               a               real-world               possibility.
               Armentano               does               not               perceive               a               problem               with               firms               who               advertise               more               efficiently               than               others;               this               is               not               a               misallocation               of               resources.

"The               only               obvious               waste               here               is               on               the               part               of               the               firms               that               advertise               less               efficiently"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

59).
               Furthermore,               Armentano               sees               nothing               problematic               with               firms               that               take               advantage               of               low-cost               technologies               and               economies               of               scale               to               maintain               dominant               positions               in               a               market.

Such               dominance               is               purely               legitimate,               as               it               is               due               to               efficient               firms'               ability               to               more               readily               satisfy               consumer               preferences.

The               very               point               of               the               market               process               is               to               discover               the               most               efficient               way               to               enhance               consumer               well-being;               this               has               nothing               to               do               with               a               specific               number               of               competitors,               and               it               is               quite               possible               that               one               firm               or               a               few               firms               might               be               more               suited               to               supplying               consumer               wants               in               a               given               market               than               a               multitude               of               firms.
               Nor               is               some               firms'               easier               access               to               financial               capital               a               barrier               to               genuine               competition.

Armentano               notes               that               "Financial               capital,               like               all               resources,               cannot               be               free               to               all               who               would               want               to               use               it,               and               its               costs               must               be               borne               by               those               who               intend               to               use               it               productively"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

63).

Some               firms               may               be               able               to               acquire               capital               at               lower               costs               because               they               have               demonstrated               that               they               are               lower               risks               and               have               been               able               to               show               through               their               past               activities               that               they               are               able               to               use               capital               successfully.

Insofar               as               capital               costs               are               a               barrier               to               entry,               they               enable               more               efficient               users               of               capital               to               exclude               less               efficient               ones               -               which               is               not               a               problem               for               consumers.

Furthermore,               this               barrier               is               routinely               overcome,               as               thousands               of               new               firms               receive               access               to               capital;               the               only               problematic               barriers               to               capital               are               those               erected               by               the               law.
               Nor               is               "predatory               pricing"               a               problem               in               a               free               market.

Armentano               mentions               the               difficulty               of               distinguishing               genuinely               "predatory"               practices               from               routine               competitive               price               reductions               and               product               innovations.

He               asks:               "which               costs               are               relevant               for               such               determinations?

Average               costs?

Marginal               costs?

Long-run               marginal               costs?

Why               are               historical               accounting               costs               relevant               at               all?"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

65).

Furthermore,               "predatory               practices               cannot               succeed               without               direct               consumer-buyer               support"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

65).

If               buyers               are               displeased               by               a               certain               firm's               price               cutting,               they               are               always               free               to               patronize               that               firm's               competitors.

The               fact               that               this               does               not               happen               means               that               such               "predatory"               price               reductions               do               not               harm               consumers.

Furthermore,               antitrust               proponents               cannot               legitimately               claim               to               know               the               long-run               preferences               of               buyers               better               than               the               buyers               do               themselves               -               and               moreover,               consumers               "can               surely               decide               their               own               time               preferences               and               then               decide               whether               the               advantages               of               short-run               price               reductions               exceed               the               possible               disadvantages               of               fewer               suppliers               in               the               future"               (Armentano               1999,               p.

65).
               Armentano               applies               the               same               logic               to               so-called               non-price               predatory               practices.

It               is               up               to               consumers               to               choose               whether               a               new               product               innovation               will               reduce               the               number               of               competitors               -               and               if               consumers               do               so,               this               is               not               problematic.

Armentano               notes               that               "it               would               be               difficult               to               imagine               an               antitrust               intervention               as               potentially               dangerous               or               damaging               to               future               consumer               welfare               as               this               sort               of               innovation               regulation"               which               would               block               the               introduction               of               new               and               superior               products               (Armentano               1999,               p.

66).
               Moreover,               predatory               practices               have               a               high               likelihood               of               failure               for               the               firm               who               undertakes               them;               the               financial               risks               of               predation               are               themselves               tremendous               disincentives               from               engaging               in               the               practice,               and               history               has               shown               extremely               few               unambiguous               instances               of               predatory               behavior.






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